Free Forex Signals for 02/28/2007
Wednesday, February 28th, 2007Hi there![]()
How are you doing today? I hope you are having a great day
Let’s first review what happened earlier today.
As you know, there were three reports that came out today that we were watching and possibly trading. First was Durable Goods Orders, which came out WAY worse than expected, and hit my trigger to go long on GBP/USD. Some economists are blaming this report for the huge stock market drop today. Since I generally don’t trade stocks, I can tell you that the impact on the dollar was very minimal from this report. Mostly probably because the dollar was oversold already. The move on the GBP/USD was very much muted, for a total of around 20 pips or so. I still ended up squeezing a few pips on the initial spike, and then a few pips on the second wave trade. I hope you made some pips on that as well. Then we had Consumer Confidence and Existing Home Sales coming out. Both came way better than expected, consumer confidence hit my short trigger on GBP/USD. We saw a move of around 45 pips total or so. That was a nice trade, the move didn’t start right away, the price couldn’t find itself for about a minute, so it was a perfect opportunity for entry. I hope you made some pips on this report as well. Japanese report came out pretty much as expected, so it was a no trade. I do highly recommend that you watch today’s live trading videos to learn a lot. Especially watch the video about consumer confidence. Here is the link: http://www.forexdiamonds.com/performance.htm
Rob Grespi from kingforexsignals.com had a decent day today. He took quite a few trades. A lot of them were small losers, but the winners were very large. He made a total of +85 pips today, which brought his performance up to +1,347 pips for this month so far. Let’s hope that he can finish off the month today, and break the +1,500 target
You can watch live trading videos from Rob by going to this link: http://www.kingforexsignals.com/tradedetails/0207 Pay attention to the GBP/JPY short that he gave at 2:31 am. That position made +67 pips within 3 minutes.
Let’s now talk about what’s going on tomorrow. In the morning at 2:00 am New York Time, we have German Retail Sales coming out, but generally the market doesn’t care about this report at all. Then we have Swiss KOF Leading Index coming out at 5:30 am New York Time, and if the deviation is big, USD/CHF may move by about 20 pips or so. So if you are in any CHF positions at that time, please be aware. I won’t be trading this report, because it’s simply not big enough for me.
1. Wednesday, February 28th, 2007 (8:30 am New York Time) USA
We have US GDP coming out for the 4th quarter. Remember…last month we had the first advance reading of the report, which read at 3%. This month we have the first revision of that reading, as more data was gathered. It’s expected that the number this month will be significantly lower than it was last month. Though consensus varies between 1.5 to 3.0%, most economists feel that the number will read at approximately 2.3% to 2.4%. My job is to give you safe triggers for this trade. So I feel that if the number comes out reading at 3% or higher, it would be good for the dollar short term, so we may see GBP/USD go down by 50 to 70 pips or more. If the number comes out at 1.8% or lower, it would match the lowest reading in over 5 years so it should be bad for the dollar short term, therefore we may see GBP/USD go up by 50 to 70 pips or more. This report can be very nasty and unpredictable, so watch out for crazy retracements which can come rapidly. I wouldn’t hesitate to take profits or at least lock in profits with a stop/loss, once there are some. If you can’t get in before the spike, I suggest not chasing, but waiting for retracement. I personally will probably trade with less conservative trigger than I gave you, but I haven’t yet decided what that will be.2. Wednesday, February 28th, 2007 (9:45 am New York Time) USA
We have Chicago PMI coming out. This report wasn’t as important back in 2006, but towards the end of 2006 and beginning of this year, it became a super hot report that everybody watches, in hopes to get hints of what ISM Manufacturing will come out. Remember…Chicago PMI measures the Chicago area of manufacturing, which is considered the heartland of manufacturing, and is supposed to give hints about the big boy ISM Manufacturing. It’s expected that Chicago PMI will come out at around 50.0 or so. If the number comes out at 54.0 or higher, it would probably be good for the dollar short term, and we may see GBP/USD move down by around 50 to 70 pips or more. If the number comes out at 46.0 or lower, it would be an absolutely shockingly low number, and we may see GBP/USD move up by around 50 to 70 pips or more. This move should be nice and slow, and may take up to an hour to fully manifest, initial spike shouldn’t be that big, so there should be enough time to get into this move. I would chase if the move starts happening rapidly. I personally will probably trade with less conservative triggers.3. Wednesday, February 28th, 2007 (10:00 am New York Time) USA
Then we have New Home Sales coming out for the month of January. This number is important, but it rarely deviates. It is expected to come out at around 1080K or so. Even though new home sales only constitutes for about 15% of all home sales, this is extremely important 15%, because it takes confidence to buy a new home, since they are generally more expensive, and when people buy new homes, there are generally a lot of other items go into them, as opposed to existing homes. So bottom line is this indicator is important. If it comes out at 1200K or higher, it should be good for the dollar, so we may possibly see GBP/USD decrease by around 50 to 70 pips or more. If the number comes out at 978K or lower, it would be the lowest reading since February of 2003, and would be bad for the dollar, so GBP/USD may increase by around 50 to 70 pips or more. I honestly have never seen such big deviation as I am giving you triggers for, so I am not sure whether this move will be a huge fast spike, or a sustained move, if my triggers are hit. Just be very aware, and manage your trade by locking in profits with a stop/loss. I personally may pick a bit less conservative triggers, but not much less conservative than I gave you.4. Wednesday, February 28th, 2007 (10:00 am New York Time) USA
We also have Bernanke speech at the same time as new home sales, but Bernanke speech usually starts several minutes after 10:00 am. So there should be enough time to analyze and trade new home sales. But I would be very much aware of the Bernanke speech, and would exit my new home sales positions before he starts speaking. I will also be trading Bernanke speech, but since his speech will be up in the air, I am not sure what exactly will be my long or short triggers. So unless you are in forexdiamonds.com room, or you know how to trade this yourself, I would suggest to stay out.That’s all I have to say about tomorrow
Remember, if you wanted to get into Rob Grespi’s group via scholarship special, make sure you are on the waiting list, tomorrow, Wednesday, I will be sending a special invitation email at 11:00 pm New York Time sharp. Waiting list can be joined through this link: http://www.kingforexsignals.com/join+us
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